▎Operational Modules
01
Maritime Intelligence
LIVE
02
Illicit Networks
P1.1
03
Infrastructure
MOD B
04
Industrial Base
P2.1
05
Decision Cockpit
P2.4
▎Data & Coordination
06
Ship Repository
VDR
07
Partner Coordination
IAC
▎AI & Analytics
08
Threat Correlation
BETA
09
AI Forecasting
BETA
10
Supply Chain
SOON
11
Digital Twin
SOON
12
Interdiction Analysis
SOON
NODES ACTIVE
23
ALERTS / 24H
147
AI CONFIDENCE
0.91
01 / 12Maritime Intelligence · Command Dashboard
Global operational picture · live AIS · interagency fusion · AI correlation engine online
High-Risk Inbound · MV ARDENT HORIZON · Port of Virginia / Norfolk
CONTAINERIZED · ETA 14:20Z · 3 RISK VECTORS · UBO P1 SANCTIONS-LINKED · N-19 CLUSTER MATCH · CONFIDENCE 0.91
36°50'N · 76°17'W
AI Correlation Engine
91.2
CONFIDENCE
Network match0.94
Routing anomaly0.88
UBO resolution0.91
Doc integrity0.78
+12s
Vessel signature cross-correlated to Cluster N-19 · prior evasion pattern.
+47s
UBO chain resolved across 3 jurisdictions · confidence 0.91.
+2m
Forecast cascade: Norfolk → DIB impact in 7d window.
Anomaly Clusters
N-19 · SHADOW FLEET94
11 entities · 3 jurisdictions · ARDENT HORIZON match · pattern re-use across 4 prior cases.
N-22 · TRANSSHIPMENT76
7 entities clustered around Algeciras → UAE re-routing pattern · emerging.
N-31 · UAS COMPONENT FLOW68
Cross-correlation with adaptive manufacturing risk · 3 single-source bottlenecks impacted.
Vessel Ownership Tracing
CYP
→
UAE
→
MLT
→
SANCTIONED
Obscuration depth: 3 layers · controlling entities obscured · UBO resolved with confidence 0.91.
Cascade Disruption Forecast
DEFENSE INDUSTRIAL BASE
+5d · Tier-2 suppliers slip 9–14d
88
CRITICAL MANUFACTURING
+5d · UAS production -40%
82
TRANSPORTATION · NORFOLK
+72h · dwell +18%
64
COMMUNICATIONS · IT
+7d · reroute bandwidth contention
45
GOVERNMENT FACILITIES
+7d · coordination latency
32
Predictive Routing
PATH A · INTERDICTION
0.91
HRH → CHARLESTON ALT → CBP HOLD
PATH B · MONITOR
0.66
HRH → NORFOLK → NTC SCREEN
PATH C · INTL HANDOFF
0.41
HRH → EUROPE PARTNER → NATO COORD
LIVE INTERAGENCY FUSION · INGEST
23 ACTIVE SOURCES
4 INTERAGENCY FEEDS
2 ANOMALY CLUSTERS
147 VESSELS TRACKED
91.2% AI CONFIDENCE
AIS
OFAC
BIS
CBP
USCG
SOCOM J2
NAVINTEL
NGA
DHS
MARAD
FINCEN
TREASURY
NATO
NOAA
SATCOM
PORT AUTH
LLOYDS
OSINT
CUSTOMS INTEL
TRADE COMP
SIGINT
ENV SENSORS
THREAT CORR
INFRA TELEM
LIVE INTEL
CRITICALMV ARDENT HORIZON AIS gap 19h42m · approaching Norfolk · risk 87/100
WATCHCluster N-22 expanding · 3 new entity matches in Algeciras corridor
COORDCBP NTC pre-targeting initiated · OFAC notified · USCG standing by
AICorrelation engine flagged BoL inconsistency · confidence 0.94
RESOLVEDNAVINTEL · prior contact UBO P1 confirmed across CYP→UAE chain
FORECASTDIB cascade projected 88% probability · 7-day horizon
RECOMMENDEDDivert to Charleston · 42% lower congestion · CBP slot available
CRITICALMV ARDENT HORIZON AIS gap 19h42m · approaching Norfolk · risk 87/100
WATCHCluster N-22 expanding · 3 new entity matches in Algeciras corridor
COORDCBP NTC pre-targeting initiated · OFAC notified · USCG standing by
AICorrelation engine flagged BoL inconsistency · confidence 0.94
RESOLVEDNAVINTEL · prior contact UBO P1 confirmed across CYP→UAE chain
FORECASTDIB cascade projected 88% probability · 7-day horizon
RECOMMENDEDDivert to Charleston · 42% lower congestion · CBP slot available
02 / 12Illicit Networks · Entity Graph
Adversary network mapped · 17 nodes · 28 edges · 3 sanctions matches · 4 jurisdictions · $3.2M traced
CLUSTER: N-19 · CONFIDENCE 0.91
Vessel · flagged actor
Shell · intermediary
Financial
Logistics · insurer
Port
Obscured
Risk Summary
87
Risk Score
3
Sanctions
4
Jurisdictions
High
Obscuration
Documentation Integrity
▎ Bill-of-Lading Origin Inconsistency
Manifest origin does not match documented routing chain. Pattern matches prior evasion cases (N-19).
▎ Manifest Weight Mismatch (+11.4%)
Declared weight inconsistent with vessel draft observations and commodity class.
▎ Insurance Certificate — Expired
P&I coverage lapsed 2026-03-14; no renewal filed.
Financial Flow
| Date | Route | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Petral Ltd → EuroAsia | $1.2M |
| 2026-04-15 | EuroAsia → Azov Marine | $890K |
| 2026-03-30 | Delphi Ship → Petral | $740K |
| 2026-03-12 | Azov → Blacksea P&I | $410K |
Network Activity
17 MAY 14:32New link — Azov Marine → Blacksea P&I
16 MAY 09:17Entity chg — Petral Ltd new director
15 MAY 22:45AIS gap — MV HORIZON 18h, E. Med
14 MAY 11:03Financial — Wire $1.2M non-correspondent
12 MAY 06:50Sanctions — Volkov added EU Annex I
03 / 12Critical Infrastructure · Interdependency
PPD-21 layered model · cross-sector cascading impact
Operating Principle · Interdependency Modeling
TREX™ Suite operates as a cross-sector decision layer. Every asset is rendered in the context of the systems that depend on it, enabling cascading-failure simulation and coordinated response across the 16 PPD-21 sectors under NSM-22 resilience objectives.
Module B · Interdependency Engine
LAYER ACore Infrastructure Systems
Foundational dependencies
Transportation · Port of Virginia
Communications
Information Technology
Energy
Water & Wastewater
LAYER BEconomic & Production
Continuity · supply chain
Defense Industrial Base
Critical Manufacturing
Financial Services
Food & Agriculture
LAYER CHuman & Governance
Societal stability · response
Healthcare & Public Health
Emergency Services
Government Facilities
Commercial Facilities
LAYER DHigh-Risk Specialized
High-impact · low-frequency
Chemical
Nuclear Reactors / Waste
Dams
Cascade Horizon
24h
7d
30d
+72h · Layer A → B
Norfolk dwell +18% triggers DIB just-in-time supplier delays across two primes.
+5d · Layer B
UAS production schedules slip 9–14d; downstream sustainment impact projected.
+7d · A↔B↔C
Comms/IT bandwidth contention as logistics reroutes spike; gov facilities coord degraded.
Forward-LookAutonomous Maritime Risk Surface
Inbound VesselMV NORDIC PILOT · MASS-3
Autonomy PostureUNKNOWN · IMO RSE
SCC OperatorSCC-OSLO-04 · 11 vessels
SCC LayerA · Transp ∩ Comms ∩ IT
Degradation Risk11 vessels lose oversight
Ref: IMO MSC Regulatory Scoping Exercise · Hannaford et al. (WMU JMA, 2022). TREX™ Suite treats MASS identifiability ambiguity as a first-class risk signal; SCC modeled as Layer A single-point-of-failure node.
04 / 12Industrial Base · Component Impact
Same threat thread · rendered at component level
Reference System · Group 1–2 UAS
Foreign reliance
67%
Single-source
3
Lead (max)
22w
Propulsion
Brushless DC Motors
Electronic Speed Controllers
Li-ion Battery Packs
Electronics
Custom ASIC · Flight Controller
IMU Sensor Suite
PCBs · Multilayer
Communications
RF Front-End Module · 5GHz
Patch Antennas
Airframe & Software
Carbon-Fiber Composites
Flight Control Firmware
-40%
Projected Small-UAS Capacity · 60 Days
If any of the 3 single-source bottlenecks fails under adversary pressure, downstream small-UAS production loses ~40% capacity within 60 days. Time-to-recovery 9–14 months without intervention. NOTIONAL · Module C / Prod 2.2
Single-Source Bottlenecks
Brushless DC Motors
1 supplier · 92% foreign · region under adversary pressure
Flight-Controller ASIC
1 fab · foreign · 22-week lead
5 GHz RF Front-End
1 supplier · export-controlled · 18-week lead
05 / 12Decision Cockpit · Interdiction & Adaptation
Coordinated response · interdiction + adaptive manufacturing
Interdiction Actions
Divert to Charleston, SC
RECOMMENDEDLower-risk alternate · 42% lower congestion · pre-coordinated CBP slot · ETA delta +6h.
Pre-Arrival CBP Targeting
STAGEDNTC alert with full network context · ready for officer review.
OFAC Compliance Coordination
STAGEDSanctions-link match on UBO · P1 · Treasury notified.
BIS Export-Control Review
PENDINGCommerce review of dual-use components in manifest.
USCG Vessel Hold Request
READYCOTP notification drafted · awaits operator confirmation.
CBP · ACK
OFAC · ACK
BIS · REVIEW
USCG · STAND-BY
NORTHCOM · INFO
Adaptive Manufacturing
Cumberland Outdoor Power Co.
Chattanooga, TN · lawn & garden OEM
→ Drone Propulsion Subassemblies
74
Days
Iron Lake Drivetrain Systems
Detroit, MI · automotive Tier-2
→ Li-ion Battery Packs
92
Days
Buckeye Thermal Systems
Dayton, OH · HVAC manufacturer
→ Thermal Mgmt · ISR Payload
110
Days
Wabash Precision Machining
Lafayette, IN · precision machining
→ Motor Rotor Assemblies
61
Days
Piedmont Microwave Inc.
Research Triangle, NC · electronics
→ 5 GHz RF Front-End · alt.
118
Days
+ 7 additional NOTIONAL firms · 12 total · 60–120 day window
Decision Layer · Canonical Outputs · Prod 2.4
1
Bottleneck called out: Group 1–2 UAS propulsion · 3 single-sourced suppliers · adversary-pressured region.
2
Conversion list: 12 NOTIONAL domestic dual-use firms · 60–120 days.
3
Material substitution: NdFeB ⟶ recycled magnet alt · reduces foreign dependency 40%.
4
Design modification: 5 GHz RF ⟶ SDR module · eliminates 2 export-controlled components.
06 / 12Ship Repository · Vessel Deep Dossier
MV ARDENT HORIZON · IMO 9712044 · Risk 87/100 · 14 associated entities
Vessel Profile
History
Ownership
Cargo
Port Calls
Underwater / SubUAS
Risk Scoring
BAY 3 · FLAGGED
BAY 4 · SUSPECT
MV ARDENT HORIZON
SANCTIONED CARGOSUSPECT MANIFESTCLEARED
Composite Risk Score
CRITICALSANCTIONS
Identifiers VERIFIED · 03:42Z
NameMV ARDENT HORIZON
IMO9712044
MMSI636019874
Call signA8JE2
TypeContainer · Panamax
BuildBohai Shipyard · 2015
FlagLBR (3rd in 24mo)
Dimensions & Specs
LOA294 m
Beam32.2 m
Draft14.5 m
DWT80,000 t
TEU Capacity12,500
Gross Tonnage95,218 GT
Ownership · Beneficial
RegisteredArdent Maritime Ltd
OperatorTN-1 Holdings · CYP
UBOP1 · sanctions-linked
ObscurationControlling entities obscured (3)
Sanctions & Watchlist
OFAC SDNUBO match · P1
EU ConsolidatedOperator linked
BIS Entity ListCargo consignee linked
AIS Gaps (90d)7 events · 312 hrs
Current Status — LIVE
Position6.12 N, 80.23 E
Speed14.2 kts
Heading087 (E)
DestinationSGSIN (Singapore)
ETA2026-05-20 0400Z
AIS StatusTRANSMITTING
Recent Port Calls
Bandar Abbas, IR2026-04-284d 12h
Colombo, LK2026-05-061d 8h
Port Klang, MY2026-05-122d 3h
Singapore, SG2026-05-20ETA
07 / 12Partner Coordination · Interagency Channel
Case ARDENT-0511 · 5 agencies active · classification UNCLASSIFIED · NOTIONAL
CHANNELS
▎ Case · ARDENT-0511
▎ Maritime Watch
▎ DIB Resilience
▎ Sanctions Coord
▎ SOCOM J2/J3
▎ Case · ARDENT-0511
MV ARDENT HORIZON · Norfolk inbound · 5 agencies
UNCLASSIFIED · NOTIONAL
DV
CBP · DAVISNational Targeting Center03:48Z
TREX™ Suite alert received. MV ARDENT HORIZON · IMO 9712044 · risk 87. Pre-targeting initiated. Recommend reviewing Bay 3 container HJCU 4710283 on arrival.
PA
OFAC · PATELTreasury03:51Z
UBO P1 confirmed match against SDN. Beneficial chain traverses CYP→UAE→MLT. Recommend vessel hold pending sanctions review.
📎 OFAC-N19-CLUSTER-BRIEF.pdf · 2.1MB
RZ
USCG D5 · RUIZCOTP Norfolk03:55Z
D5 standing by. If diversion to Charleston is the call, pre-coordinate with D7. Concur on diversion per cascade model.
CH
BIS · COHENCommerce · Export Control03:58Z
Manifest review in progress. Three line items flagged as dual-use under EAR. Determination within 4h.
VG
SOCOM J2 · VARGASTargeting · ONI Liaison04:02Z
Cluster N-19 matches our standing collection priority. Concur with interdiction. Requesting entity graph export and underwater overlay.
📎 ARDENT-network-graph.json · 412KB
PINNED INTEL
▎ TREX Risk Assessment
Composite risk 87 · 3 single-source DIB bottlenecks · 12 NOTIONAL conversion firms · 7-day cascade A→B→C.
▎ Cluster N-19 Pattern
Shadow network re-uses 6 shell entities across CYP/UAE/MLT for dual-use transshipment. UBO P1 in 3 prior cases.
OFAC-N19-CLUSTER-BRIEF.pdf
ARDENT-network-graph.json
ARDENT-underwater-dossier.zip
08 / 12Threat Correlation Engine
Cross-source signal fusion · AI-assisted threat hypothesis ranking
Signal Fusion Matrix
| Source | Strength | Correl. | Fused | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIS | 0.94 | 847 | ● LIVE | |
| OSINT | 0.81 | 563 | ● LIVE | |
| OFAC | 0.77 | 312 | ● LIVE | |
| BIS | 0.68 | 201 | ● DELAY | |
| FINCEN | 0.73 | 278 | ● LIVE | |
| SIGINT | 0.59 | 134 | ● PARTIAL |
Ranked Threat Hypotheses
H-001 · MV ARDENT HORIZON — Sanctions Evasion
0.96
High-confidence: vessel AIS manipulation (dark periods 14+ hrs) concurrent with OFAC-listed entity transfers via shell intermediaries. SIGINT intercepts reference cargo diversion to embargoed port.
AISOFACFINCENSIGINTOSINT
H-002 · PETROMAX FLEET — Dual-Use Tech Transfer
0.82
BIS export control violations across 3 vessels. OSINT imagery confirms container staging at restricted transshipment hub.
BISOSINTAISFINCEN
H-003 · CASPIAN CORRIDOR — Illicit Oil Brokerage
0.74
STS transfer in exclusion zone. FINCEN SAR filings correlate with payment flows to designated intermediary.
AISFINCENOFAC
H-004 · NORDIC SHELL CO — Front Entity
0.61
Emerging pattern: newly registered entity with sanctions circumvention behaviors. Awaiting SIGINT confirmation.
FINCENOSINT
Source Contribution
AIS
0.92
OSINT
0.78
OFAC
0.71
FINCEN
0.67
BIS
0.54
SIGINT
0.43
Correlation Timeline
17 MAY 08:42Z
OFAC match — ARDENT HORIZON UBO linked to SDN entity
17 MAY 07:15Z
AIS dark period correlated with SIGINT intercept
17 MAY 05:33Z
FINCEN SAR auto-correlated — wire to flagged intermediary
17 MAY 03:21Z
BIS export alert fused with OSINT port imagery
16 MAY 22:47Z
OSINT satellite pass confirms vessel at anchorage
16 MAY 19:08Z
Initial AIS anomaly — speed/heading inconsistency
Model Confidence
0.91
Ensemble Score
Precision: 0.89
Recall: 0.93
F1: 0.91
09 / 12AI Forecasting
Predictive routing · cascading-failure simulation · scenario generator
Scenario Comparison
Baseline
78%
ETA dev: +0.4h
Risk delta: -0.02
Det. prob: 0.96
Risk delta: -0.02
Det. prob: 0.96
Evasion Route Alpha
54%
ETA dev: +6.2h
Risk delta: +0.31
Det. prob: 0.62
Risk delta: +0.31
Det. prob: 0.62
Dark Fleet Convergence
31%
ETA dev: +14.8h
Risk delta: +0.67
Det. prob: 0.38
Risk delta: +0.67
Det. prob: 0.38
Cascade Simulation — 72h Horizon
Maritime
Energy
Supply Chain
Comms / IT
0h24h48h72h
Forecast Parameters
Horizon72h
Confidence threshold0.85
Model versionv2.4.1-rc
Last training2026-05-14 03:22Z
Data freshness4m 12s ago
Ensemble size7 models
Risk Forecast
Model Explainability
AIS gap duration0.34
Flag state risk0.22
Port history anomaly0.18
Speed deviation sigma0.14
Ownership depth0.12
10 / 12Supply Chain
Tier 1/2/3 supplier mapping · component flow tracking · disruption modeling
Supply Chain
▎ SOON · ROADMAP Q4 2026
Deep supplier-base intelligence for the Defense Industrial Base and Critical Manufacturing sectors. Tier 1, 2, and 3 visibility with foreign-reliance and single-source flags. Composes with Adaptive Manufacturing recommendations.
11 / 12Digital Twin
Asset-level operational twin · sensor telemetry · degradation modeling
Digital Twin
▎ SOON · ROADMAP Q1 2027
Asset-level digital twins for high-value critical infrastructure: ports, foundries, shore control centers, transmission substations. Real-time telemetry, degradation modeling, and operational state reconstruction.
12 / 12Interdiction Analysis
Post-action analysis · effectiveness scoring · pattern-of-life
Interdiction Analysis
▎ SOON · ROADMAP Q1 2027
Post-action analysis of interdiction operations: effectiveness scoring, network response pattern-of-life, adversary adaptation tracking, and after-action knowledge capture feeding back into the Threat Correlation Engine.